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Rank: Sports Guru
Groups: Member
Joined: 6/24/2007
Posts: 640
Location: Rockhampton
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After taking a look at it a bit more 9after stage 10 fallout) I have decided that 11/1 is so juicy for Carlos Sastre to take out the tour. As much as i love Cadel and would love to see him win i think his team will let him down. We all saw what CSC did in stage 10, they are so strong. If they can continue i think Sastre could be in yellow by Paris. I think Menchov is the other big threat.
TAB odds
43562
EVANS Cadel $1.60
MENCHOV Denis $3.75
RICCO Riccardo $8.00
SCHLECK Frank $10.00
SASTRE Carlos $11.00
VANDEVELDE Christian $15.00
COBO ACEBO Juan Jose $51.00
KOHL Bernhard $51.00
VALVERDE Alejandro $51.0
My odds would be:
EVANS Cadel $3.50
SASTRE Carlos $3.50
MENCHOV Denis $3.75
RICCO Riccardo $8.00
SCHLECK Frank $10.00
VANDEVELDE Christian $51.00
COBO ACEBO Juan Jose $81.00
KOHL Bernhard $151.00
VALVERDE Alejandro $51.0
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Rank: Sports Guru
Groups: Member
Joined: 10/19/2007
Posts: 8,131
Location: Wouldn't you like to know
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Suppose putting a tenner on it could do no harm...
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Rank: Sports Guru
Groups: Member
Joined: 6/24/2007
Posts: 640
Location: Rockhampton
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__Raf__ wrote:Suppose putting a tenner on it could do no harm... Thats the thinking i used at the TAB this arvo.
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Rank: Sports Guru
Groups: Member
Joined: 6/6/2007
Posts: 1,579
Location: Bathurst
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I got on Schleck. There is no point expecting anything at all from Sastre as long as Schleck is still putting the pressue on Evans. History shows that teams who try to push two riders up the top of the GC inevitibly fail - T-Mobile f.u.cked up by pulling back Vinokourov to give Ullrich a chance a few years ago, and they screwed themselves up by launching a two-pronged assault with Ullrich and Kloden as well.
If Schleck cracks and leaves Sastre as CSC's sole chance, by all means back him but at the moment there is only one value bet in the CSC team, and it is not Sastre.
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Rank: Member
Groups: Member
Joined: 7/10/2004
Posts: 38
Location: S.E. QLD
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Schleck is the danger man, not Sastre.
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Rank: Advanced Member
Groups: Member
Joined: 3/13/2006
Posts: 75
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SteveW wrote:Schleck is the danger man, not Sastre. I don't necessarily agree. While Schleck did ride very well on the last major stage of the Pyrenees, Sastre didn't seem to have any trouble with the stage himself. There's still a long way to go and Sastre is Bjarne Riis' designated leader of CSC.
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Rank: Sports Guru
Groups: Member
Joined: 1/31/2008
Posts: 2,071
Location: the gong
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@ 51 dollars get on Vandevelde
If he keeps his climbing up he is a decent time trialist. He could be the very big upset. Only 30 seconds down. Although i dont think he will win i think at that price hes gold.
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Rank: Advanced Member
Groups: Member
Joined: 9/16/2007
Posts: 69
Location: Melbourne
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i dont think Schleck can get a big enough gap before the TT, Menchov is your threat, he was p1ssing about the other night, doing it easy. i would of course prefer cadel to win, but got on menchov at $11 after the first TT. happy to lose my moolah if Cadel gets up
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Rank: Sports Guru
Groups: Member
Joined: 6/24/2007
Posts: 640
Location: Rockhampton
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Very hollow feelin win but il take it. Hope a few others besides RAF got on my tip as well.
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Rank: Sports Guru
Groups: Member
Joined: 10/19/2007
Posts: 8,131
Location: Wouldn't you like to know
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hillsnick116 wrote:Very hollow feelin win but il take it. Hope a few others besides RAF got on my tip as well. Yeah, it really didn't feel as it should to win 
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Rank: Sports Guru
Groups: Member
Joined: 10/19/2007
Posts: 8,131
Location: Wouldn't you like to know
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Phat wrote:I got on Schleck. There is no point expecting anything at all from Sastre as long as Schleck is still putting the pressue on Evans. History shows that teams who try to push two riders up the top of the GC inevitibly fail - T-Mobile f.u.cked up by pulling back Vinokourov to give Ullrich a chance a few years ago, and they screwed themselves up by launching a two-pronged assault with Ullrich and Kloden as well.
If Schleck cracks and leaves Sastre as CSC's sole chance, by all means back him but at the moment there is only one value bet in the CSC team, and it is not Sastre. SteveW wrote:Schleck is the danger man, not Sastre. Well don't you two look quite silly 
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Rank: Sports Guru
Groups: Member
Joined: 5/27/2008
Posts: 1,912
Location: Welcome to Con Air.
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hillsnick116 wrote:After taking a look at it a bit more 9after stage 10 fallout) I have decided that 11/1 is so juicy for Carlos Sastre to take out the tour. As much as i love Cadel and would love to see him win i think his team will let him down. We all saw what CSC did in stage 10, they are so strong. If they can continue i think Sastre could be in yellow by Paris. I think Menchov is the other big threat.
TAB odds
43562
EVANS Cadel $1.60
MENCHOV Denis $3.75
RICCO Riccardo $8.00
SCHLECK Frank $10.00
SASTRE Carlos $11.00
VANDEVELDE Christian $15.00
COBO ACEBO Juan Jose $51.00
KOHL Bernhard $51.00
VALVERDE Alejandro $51.0
My odds would be:
EVANS Cadel $3.50
SASTRE Carlos $3.50
MENCHOV Denis $3.75
RICCO Riccardo $8.00
SCHLECK Frank $10.00
VANDEVELDE Christian $51.00
COBO ACEBO Juan Jose $81.00
KOHL Bernhard $151.00
VALVERDE Alejandro $51.0 Quality bet on Sastre. Unfortunate for Evans though. 2nd two years straight.
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